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Why Winning at Slots is Kept Secret from You

July 29, 2022 By Jon Friedl - Professor Slots

Introduction to Kept Secret

The gaming industry has set you off in the wrong direction on your slots journey, like stampeding buffalo off a cliff so they can eat like kings. But you’re starting to figure out what they’ve kept secret.

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Wrong Directions

Winning at slots isn’t hard. I’ve proved that. Many of YOU have proved that which, if you’ve joined my state-by-state Facebook groups, you can see for yourself.

So, what’s the problem? Where’s the sticking point? It’s the gaming industry.

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They’ve set you off in the wrong direction on your slots journey. But you’re starting to figure it out. Well done!

Keep working on it! But how? Let’s go over it.

Cliff’s Edge [Kept Secret]
Cliff’s Edge [Kept Secret]

Casinos are Businesses First, Last, and Always

Casinos are businesses designed to take your money but give back about 90% of it. They then work hard to convince you, without telling you, to get you also to gamble away that 90% to then have 81%. Then go right ahead and spend that 81% of your original bankroll to have 73%.

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These gradual losses happen again and again. 73% becomes 66%, which becomes 59%, then 53%, 48%, 43%, 39%, 35%, 31%, and so on. Every time you cycle your remaining bankroll, you spend 10% of it. After ten cycles, you’ve sent $717 of the $100 bankroll you’d brought to the casino but have $31.38 left over.

Now, this is an average result over the long term. It’s just math. Statistics.

Some slots enthusiasts leave with $90 after spending $100 and count themselves lucky. Whew!

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Others make significant wins immediately. Yet other slots enthusiasts spend their bankroll without winning anything. And so, it goes, where everyone altogether gets $90 back for every $100 spent.

Businesses have plans [Kept Secret]
Businesses have plans [Kept Secret]

Avoiding an Average Result

Again, this is simple statistics. Math. And not the real world.

In the real world, an individual couldn’t bet often enough to get this result consistently. If you made a bet every two seconds for 24 hours without pause, that’s only 43,200 bets and $26k spent in 60-cent bets.

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Yes, that many bets should result in the average result, but the reason it doesn’t isn’t statistics. It doesn’t because such a result only applies to random data. And the results of playing a slot machine aren’t random unless YOU make it random by your style of play.

Business people’s handshake [Kept Secret]
Business people’s handshake [Kept Secret]

State Returns

Here, I’ll show you. Twenty states offer slot machine returns to the public. Here are Delaware’s returns for the last 26 years.

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Delaware casino’s monthly win% for 26 years [Kept Secret]
Delaware casino’s monthly win% for 26 years [Kept Secret]

Here are the returns for the three frontier towns in Colorado that have slot machines.

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Monthly player win% for Colorado’s mountain towns, 2019-2022 [Kept Secret]
Monthly player win% for Colorado’s mountain towns, 2019-2022 [Kept Secret]

Here are Illinois’ returns for their video lottery machines in bars and taverns controlled by the state lottery.

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Monthly player win% for Illinois VGTs, 2012-2022 [Kept Secret]
Monthly player win% for Illinois VGTs, 2012-2022 [Kept Secret]

Does any of this data look random to you? It’s not random. It’s a plan.

Your Secret Weapon is YOU

Each state, casino, slot machine manufacturer, and more have its plans. The only group that isn’t on this list, the only group that most often doesn’t have a plan, are slots enthusiasts.

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But not you, of course, because you’re reading this article. But you are in the minority. Most slots enthusiasts don’t have a plan.

Because, as shown with real data from over more than 25 years, THEY do. The gaming industry has a plan. Or ten.

But you are exceptional. Unlike so many others, you have the plan or, at least, realize you need one. Or five.

You’re here, so you have a plan. Or you are starting to have one. Or you are thinking about starting one.

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What’s your plan?

You are the key [Kept Secret]
You are the key [Kept Secret]

Gaming Industry Misdirection

I’m not worried about you. You’re on the right slots journey for you. Not the right slot journey for those trying to stampede you off a cliff and take your hard-won bankroll.

But it’s not so simple deciding to have a plan that benefits you. Why? Because gaming industries have worked so hard for decades to get you to fall off a cliff.

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How do they get you near that cliff? First, the gaming industry tries to tell you that playing slots is random. Why?

Because if it were random, nothing you do matters. That’s wonderful for casinos and their slot machine providers because they make more money if you don’t think your actions matter.

For example, they say table games have better odds than slot machines. What? Sorry, but no! Again, there’s proof in the state return statistics from Nevada and New Jersey.

The gaming industry, including casinos, slot machine providers, and most slots channels, convince you not to try. To give up. To go ahead and fall off a cliff of their making.

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It’s everywhere, from manipulative casino setups to casino employees’ carefully written scripts to misleading slots enthusiasts who never had a statistics class. But you’re catching on, aren’t you? Well done!

A compass to set your path [Kept Secret]
A compass to set your path [Kept Secret]

Summary of Kept Secret

Don’t fall for the gaming industry trying to push you off a cliff. Instead, start figuring out what they’ve kept secret.

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Other Articles from Professor Slots

  • Previous: When to Walk Away from a Slot Machine
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